I'm no expert, but I'm inclined to agree with victor. If a train derailed at that point, I think the most likely consequence is that the ends of two coaches would end up stuck in the water, but that most of the train would remain more or less on the tracks. Passengers would most likely be able to evacuate to adjacent carriages.
However, if it happened to a packed commuter train, I think some injury would be inevitable, and wouldn't rule out loss of life.
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